Indablog

This week’s Tracker produced largest turnout so far, probably because the Republican debate in Michigan kept Ron Paul supporters on a high level of alert throughout the evening. Paul voters crushed their opposition, most of whom have made barely any effort to show up for the last couple of weeks.

The turnout on the DEM side was fairly typical, producing another win for John Edwards. But the heavy turnout of Paul supporters makes it possible to say something useful about that community.

For starters (and consistent with previous results), just over 32 percent (144 of 448) of Paul voters offered no second choice, indicating that an exceptionally high proportion of them are not likely to be “team players” within the GOP.

Furthermore, (and also consistent with recent results), among the Paul voters who did cast a 2nd choice, 132 favored Tom Tancredo, 65 favored Mike Huckabee, and 20 favored Alan Keyes. Giuliani was their least favored option by far.

It’s noteworthy that Tancredo received no 1st place votes at all in this poll, but took 2nd place in the election’s Depth score solely because of help from Paul supporters. As I wrote previously, Ron Paul has coat tails.

(Tancredo doesn’t appear in the chart at the bottom of the page because my initial design included only candidates who received at least one 1st place vote. I’ll find a way to offer better consistency between the analysis presented here and the graphics presented on the election page as I propagate the new adjusted Depth calculation into the realtime results.)

Finally, 37 Paul voters also participated in the Presidential Priorities poll, offering the 1st rank choices listed in the following table (keeping in mind, that with greater levels of participation, it would be preferable to present the results as a funciton of Depth).

I’ve added “Sound Money” as an option in the priority poll since Paul has been mentioning it often during his speeches and debate performances.

Herer a re summary results for each poll. Full details are available at the associated link.

Democrats

Republicans

Filed under: Development Chronicles, Indaba Polls