Indablog

Results remain fairly consistent with previous polls. Once again, John Edwards took the Democratic poll in every dimension. A relatively low turnout in the Republican poll permitted a 10th round IRV victory for Fred Thompson. Ron Paul started out leading with 1st rank votes, and also took the lead in overall depth. Round after round, however, supporters of defeated candidates refused almost unanimously to transfer their votes to Paul, giving the victory to Thompson. This election showcases the impact of the IRV system. (Also, my depth calculation uses a modified Condorcet that emphasizes the impact of 1st rank votes. Thompson probably would have led in depth under a traditional Condorcet algorithm.)

There was a significant attempt at ballot stuffing this week. The same IP address was connected with nearly sixty ballots over a short period of time, indicating use of a technical ploy. Nearly all of those ballots favored Dennis Kucinich on the Democratic side and Paul on the Republican side. I disqualified the ballots, and contacted an individual at an email address associated with one of the ballots, inviting that person to provide credible evidence that the votes were acutally submitted by distinct individuals. I’ll requalify the ballots if that evidence comes through.

There was also an incessent but wildly ineffective attempt at ballot stuffing by a couple of Mitt Romney supporters who never figured out that the system was simply updating their official ballot.

Democratic Candidates Poll

Republican Candidates Poll

Filed under: Indaba Polls