Tuesday Tracker II: Results
John Edwards repeats win for DEM poll. Ron Paul crushes otherwise disinterested GOP.
John Edwards’ results declined just slightly since last week, after accounting for a tiny data glitch caused by your friendly application specialist (More on that below). Barack Obama held on to 2nd place, but his scores declined noticably, reflecting a boost of interest in Dodd, Richardson, Biden and Gravel. Kucinich and Clinton maintained their previous levels of support in first place votes, but Clinton dropped a rank in overall depth of support as Dodd advanced.
| Candidate | Depth | Votes | % | |
| John Edwards | 66.40 | 45 | 40.91 | |
| Barack Obama | 47.71 | 23 | 20.91 | |
| Dennis Kucinich | 38.88 | 18 | 16.36 | |
| Christopher Dodd | 25.57 | 4 | 3.64 | |
| Hillary Clinton | 25.47 | 9 | 8.18 | |
| Bill Richardson | 24.03 | 4 | 3.64 | |
| Joe Biden | 22.86 | 4 | 3.64 | |
| Mike Gravel | 17.16 | 3 | 2.73 |
For the Republicans, Ron Paul voters showed up this time, while the others effectively abandoned the field. Curious as to why, I asked some RedStaters (who’s site had been the force behind Thompson’s victory last week), why they had so little interest. That thread is here.
Once again, a large proportion of Paul voters (over 30%) offered no 2nd choice. For those who did, Mike Huckabee was favored by nearly 40%, while Tom Tancredo and Duncan Hunter were each favored by over 20%.
| Candidate | Depth | Votes | % | |
| Ron Paul | 87.88 | 85 | 81.73 | |
| Mike Huckabee | 24.42 | 1 | 0.96 | |
| Fred Thompson | 20.50 | 7 | 6.73 | |
| Duncan Hunter | 19.26 | 1 | 0.96 | |
| Tom Tancredo | 18.07 | 1 | 0.96 | |
| Mitt Romney | 16.66 | 5 | 4.81 | |
| Rudy Giuliani | 13.91 | 4 | 3.85 |
Participation in DEMs increased by just a couple of votes over last week. By the numbers, GOP turnout increased significantly, but turnout was less diverse, and far less in synch with “meatspace” polls.
Neverthelss, that participation drew more votes to the issues and attributes polls, whch will make it possible to get readings on what kinds of issue-based consituencies might be possible.
Finally, your intrepid proprietor made a small error by accidently including Gore and Clark in the DEM nominee list when the poll opened. Since that poll was intended for only announced candidates, so I removed them. But, not wanting to cheat the people who had cast their votes during those first few minutes, I left the “bad” ballots in place.
Interestingly, but not surprisingly, Gore got 2 of 5 1st place votes before the list was corrected. The other 3 were split among Clinton, Edwards, and Obama. But Edwards won the IRV. It was an interesting snapshot of an accidental focus group.
Filed under: Indaba Polls
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